Absolute Return Strategy – MRB TradeBook Track Record: 2019 Review – January 29, 2020


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Absolute Return Strategy – MRB TradeBook Track Record: 2019 Review – January 29, 2020
Absolute Return · 

 Add to Favorite Reports In 2019, we leaned against repeated calls for an imminent recession, which benefited… Continue



 

Weekly Macro Strategy – Goldilocks For Now – January 24, 2020
 · Weekly Macro Strategy · 

Global economic activity is slowly firming, but is not likely to be sufficiently strong as to unnerve government bond markets over the next few months.



 

Fixed Income – BoC & The Bond Market: Caught Between Crosscurrents – January 24, 2020
Fixed Income · 

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Theme – Mania Profiling (Part IV): Regional Housing & Related Equities – January 17, 2020
 · Economics & Policy · Equities · Themes · 

 Add to Favorite Reports This report continues our thematic series on profiling asset manias. We focus on… Continue



 

Absolute Return Strategy – Positioning For 2020 – December 23, 2019
Absolute Return ·  · 

Today’s report outlines the main macro forces that will influence the investment landscape for 2020 and provides our related investment strategy.



 

Webcast – FX Strategy For 2020 (13min:31sec) – December 18, 2019
Webcasts · 

In this today’s Webcast, Phillip Colmar and Santiago Espinosa discuss the outlook for FX strategy in 2020.



 

Global Fixed Income – 2020 Outlook – December 17, 2019
 · Fixed Income · 

Today’s report outlines our recommended fixed-income positioning for 2020.



 

Global Foreign Exchange – FX Positioning For 2020 – December 12, 2019
 · Foreign Exchange · 

Today’s report outlines our FX positioning in 2020. This year the U.S. dollar traded marginally higher on the back of weaker external growth and ongoing uncertainty associated with trade and politics.



 

Foreign Exchange – CAD: The Best Of A Bad Lot – November 29, 2019
Foreign Exchange · 

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Webcast – Dividends For The Long Run (8min:24sec) – November 27, 2019
Webcasts · 

In this week’s Webcast, Peter Perkins examines global dividends and their potential contribution to equity returns in the years ahead.



 

Equities – The Lure Of Dividends – November 26, 2019
 · Equities · 

Current dividend yields on equities are compelling compared with the extraordinarily low yields available on long-term government bonds.



 

Fixed Income – G7 Government Bond Yields: Countertrend Bounce Or Further Upside? – November 22, 2019
Fixed Income · 

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Theme – Mania Profiling (Part I): Framework & Current Cycle – November 20, 2019
 · Themes · 

This MRB Theme Report is the first of a mini-series of reports that update our work on asset manias.



 

Policy – Gauging Relative Monetary Policy Pressures: It’s All About The Fed – October 31, 2019
 · Economics & Policy · 

Monetary policy pressures in the developed world have diminished substantially this year due to trade-related uncertainty and global manufacturing weakness.



 

Foreign Exchange – Choosing Between Two Canaries – October 25, 2019
Foreign Exchange · 

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Long-Term Returns – Stocks, Not Bonds, For The Long Run – October 24, 2019
 · Asset Allocation · 

Returns from balanced portfolios over the next decade will be middling by historical standards.



 

Webcast – Still Scope For Another Upturn In The Global Earnings Cycle (11min:28sec) – October 23, 2019
Webcasts · 

In this week’s Webcast, Peter Perkins assesses the earnings cycle across major markets, its key drivers, and the implications for equity prices.



 

Global Equities – An Old, But Not Fully Mature Earnings Cycle – October 15, 2019
 · Asset Class Reports · Equities · 

The global earnings upcycle is advanced, but should continue in the sluggish growth environment we anticipate in the year ahead.



 

Canada – On Borrowed Time – October 8, 2019
 · Economics & Policy · 

The increasing imbalances and building vulnerabilities of the Canadian economy have been a regular theme in our research since the commodity Supercycle crested in 2013.



 

Regional Equities – Hewing Close To Home – September 26, 2019
 · Equities · 

Only selective deviations from regional benchmark weightings have a favorable risk-reward profile in a global equity portfolio given the policy and economic backdrop.



 

Global Fixed Income – G7 Bonds: Priced For A Bleak Outlook – September 24, 2019
 · Fixed Income · 

Our view has been that the race to negative bond yields pushed pricing too far this summer.



 

Global Foreign Exchange – FX Strategy In A Highly Political World – September 19, 2019
 · Foreign Exchange · 

Increased political uncertainty and trade threats have fueled financial market volatility, benefiting safe-haven currencies including the U.S. dollar. However, further upside for the dollar should prove limited.



 

Webcast – Top 5 Client Requests Of The Month (15min:45sec) – September 11, 2019
Webcasts · 

Political risks have been erupting all over the world, creating tremendous market volatility and a steady increase in angst about the financial and economic market outlook



 

Absolute Return Strategy – Fattening The Tails – August 23, 2019
Absolute Return ·  · 

Our overarching view has been that the bull run in the global stock/bond ratio has matured and is undergoing an extended topping out process that began in early-2018.



 

Weekly Macro Strategy – Nearing A Tipping Point – August 9, 2019
 · Weekly Macro Strategy · 

Protectionism and isolationism have recently risen, implying that the weakness in trade will persist, with increased risks of contagion on the broader economy.



 

Equities – Global Financial Stocks: Collateral Damage From The Trade War – August 9, 2019
Equities · 

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Webcast – Another Threat To Growth (9min:32sec) – August 6, 2019
Webcasts · 

In this week’s webcast, Peter Perkins discusses the escalation of the trade war between the U.S. and China and the implications for capital markets, within the context of broader asset allocation strategy.



 

Theme – Where To Hide When The Bear Market Erupts – July 25, 2019
Absolute Return ·  · Themes · 

This has been an abnormal bull market in the global stock/bond ratio that will ultimately transition into an abnormal bear market.



 

Regional Equities – Limited Late-Cycle Beta Warranted – June 28, 2019
 · Equities · 

The health of the global economic expansion will be the key driver of relative equity market performance in the year ahead, rather than valuations or monetary policy.



 

Webcast – Investing In A Politically Unstable World (16min:20sec) – June 26, 2019
Webcasts · 

In this week’s Webcast, Phillip Colmar shares the major takeaways for clients from his recent trip to Bermuda where he spoke at the Bermuda National Gallery on the wave of social and political instability spreading across the globe.