Policy – U.S. Politics 2020: Democratic Disruptors Or Stabilizers? – July 18, 2019


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Policy – U.S. Politics 2020: Democratic Disruptors Or Stabilizers? – July 18, 2019
 · Economics & Policy · Themes · 

Despite President Trump’s low approval ratings, the Democrats face an uphill battle in winning the presidential election in 2020 given the healthy economy and the power of incumbency.



 

Webcast – Investing In A Politically Unstable World (16min:20sec) – June 26, 2019
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

In this week’s Webcast, Phillip Colmar shares the major takeaways for clients from his recent trip to Bermuda where he spoke at the Bermuda National Gallery on the wave of social and political instability spreading across the globe.



 

Absolute Return Strategy – Trade War Vs The Fed: Mapping The Impact – June 10, 2019
Absolute Return ·  · 

Financial markets have swung wildly this year, caught in the crosscurrents between potentially destabilizing trade policies and a fresh round of monetary reflation. In this report we provide a framework to help investors map the competing forces at work in the global economy.



 

Theme – Trade War Vs The Fed: Mapping The Impact – June 10, 2019
 · Themes · 

Financial markets have swung wildly this year, caught in the crosscurrents between potentially destabilizing trade policies and a fresh round of monetary reflation.



 

Webcast – MRB Key Themes: Navigating The Roadmap (9min:07sec) – June 5, 2019
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

In this week’s Webcast, Phillip Colmar and Santiago Espinosa provide highlights from the MRB Annual Overview Of Key Macro And Investment Themes as well as a “roadmap” for investors to navigate the current global landscape.



 

Theme – MRB’s Annual Overview Of Key Investment Themes (Part II) – May 29, 2019
 · Themes · 

This is Part II of a two-part annual update of the big-picture themes that form the foundation for MRB’s longer-term investment strategy.



 

Theme – MRB’s Annual Overview Of  Key Macro Themes (Part I) – May 23, 2019
 · Economics & Policy · Themes · 

This is Part I of a two-part annual update of the big-picture themes that form the foundation for MRB’s longer-term investment strategy.



 

Webcast – Monetary Reflation In A Deleveraging World (12min:30sec) – April 17, 2019
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

The mechanics and impact of monetary policy have been heavily debated from the onset of the Great Recession and has heated up again since the Fed whipsawed investors with a massive pivot.



 

Theme – Monetary Reflation Simplified: Mapping The Limitations & Risks – April 2, 2019
 · Economics & Policy · Themes · 

In this report we explain a simplified framework and use the U.S. and euro area as examples to answer several frequently asked questions as well as address a few common misconceptions.



 

Webcast – MRB’s Long-Term Portfolio Recommendations (7min:09sec) – March 6, 2019
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

Phillip Colmar and Santiago Espinosa step back from our tactical investment strategy and focus on several higher-conviction multi-year recommendations that are extracted from our big-picture thematic work.



 

Absolute Return Strategy – The High-Conviction Multi-Year Portfolio – March 6, 2019
Absolute Return ·  · 

This report leverages our recent big picture thematic work to provide investors with a longer-term roadmap.



 

Theme Report – The High-Conviction Multi-Year Portfolio – March 6, 2019
 · Themes · 

 Add to Favorite Reports This report leverages our recent big picture thematic work to provide investors with… Continue



 

Webcast – The Recession That Refreshes (9min:45sec) – January 30, 2019
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

In this week’s Webcast, Phillip Colmar and Santiago Espinosa look ahead to what awaits during the next global recession.



 

Absolute Return Strategy – Crisis Of Confidence – January 7, 2019
Absolute Return ·  · 

Investors have been suffering a “crisis of confidence” in monetary and political leadership in several major economies around the globe.



 

Webcast – Stylized Investment Cycle: Navigating The Endgame (11min:42sec) – December 6, 2018
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

Global equity markets are in turmoil, as investors are rapidly downgrading the growth expectations and starting to panic about the potential for a global recession.



 

Theme – MRB Stylized Investment Cycle: Extended Topping Out Process – December 4, 2018
Absolute Return ·  · Asset Allocation · Themes · 

The MRB Stylized Investment Cycle has been one of our most popular thematic frameworks since we introduced it to clients earlier this decade.



 

Webcast – The End Of Cheap Money: Comparing Central Bank Pressures (8min:57sec) – October 31, 2018
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

 Add to Favorite Reports Click here to download the full Webcast (zip format, 5mb). October 31 after… Continue



 

Theme – The Great Monetary Unwind: Who Will Join? – October 25, 2018
 · Economics & Policy · Themes · 

There has been a massive shift in global imbalances over the past decade as U.S. and euro area households (the previous weak links) restored their balance sheets



 

Webcast – Bond Yields, Choke Points & Relief Valves (12min:26sec) – October 24, 2018
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

Financial markets have been shaken as investors have rapidly adjusted their expectations to reflect a higher bond yield environment.



 

Theme – Competitive Currency Devaluation Is Ending – October 23, 2018
 · Foreign Exchange · Themes · 

Competitive currency devaluation was an important theme in the years following the Great Recession when two major global growth engines needed reflating, namely the U.S. and euro area.



 

Theme – The Casualties Of Interest Rate Normalization – October 22, 2018
Absolute Return ·  · Economics & Policy · Fixed Income · Themes · 

There has been a massive shift in global imbalances over the past decade. The U.S. and euro area household sectors have delevered, making them less sensitive to rising interest rates and bond yields.



 

Webcast – Global Inflation: Gradual Upturn, Massive Ramifications (9min:55sec) – October 3, 2018
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

An examination of the forces that drive global consumer price inflation reveals a slow but profound shift in the longer-term underlying pressures over the past decade.



 

Theme – A Secular Upshift In Inflation (Part II) – October 2, 2018
 · Economics & Policy · Fixed Income · Themes · 

This is the concluding part of a two-part MRB Theme Report analyzing the underlying shift in the trend of global consumer price inflation.



 

Absolute Return Strategy – Brief R&R – August 27, 2018
Absolute Return ·  · 

Political turmoil in several countries (including Italy and the U.S.), escalating trade tensions, and a crisis in Turkey have prevented many investors from getting much rest and relaxation this summer.



 

Fixed Income – Yield Curve: Misread & Risks Skewed To Steepening – July 6, 2018
Absolute Return · Fixed Income · Themes · 

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Webcast – Euro Area: Cyclical Vs Structural Outlook (13min:54sec) – June 13, 2018
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

 Add to Favorite Reports Click here to download the full Webcast (zip format, 5mb). June 13 after… Continue



 

Theme – Euro Area Crosscurrents (Part II): Structurally Flawed – June 11, 2018
 · Economics & Policy · Themes · 

This is the second report of a two-part series which provides a broader perspective of the cyclical and structural crosscurrents facing the euro area.



 

Theme – Euro Area Crosscurrents (Part I): Cyclically Resilient – June 7, 2018
 · Economics & Policy · Themes · 

Several headwinds have hit the euro area in recent months, making investors question if the steady improvements recorded last year have given way to something more ominous.



 

Webcast – Long-Term Returns: Fundamental Headwinds (10min:38sec) – May 30, 2018
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

In this week’s Webcast, Peter Perkins discusses the long-term outlook for global capital markets and returns for major asset classes.



 

Theme – The Trade And Reserve Currency Systems At Risk – May 15, 2018
 · Economics & Policy · Foreign Exchange · Themes · 

The global trading system that is a holdover from the 1944 Bretton Woods conference has passed its sell-by date.