MacroResearchBoard
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Webinar – MRB’s Big Picture Themes – (73min:46sec) – May 12, 2020
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Webinar – MRB’s Big Picture Themes – (73min:46sec) – May 12, 2020
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables ·
In this week’s Webcast, Phillip Colmar and Warren Smith, examined the major macro and investment trends that will be key to generating outsized portfolio returns over the next several years.
U.S. Equities – Consumer Finance Stocks: More Tailwinds To Play Out – May 12, 2021
· Equities ·
U.S. consumer finance stocks have strongly outperformed year-to-date.
Economy – U.S. Labor Market: A Supply-Side Squeeze? – May 11, 2021
· Economics & Policy ·
April’s surprisingly weak U.S. payroll report highlighted potential supply-side roadblocks as the economy moves past the COVID-19 crisis.
Absolute Return Strategy – Risk Of Another 1987 Crash – May 10, 2021
Absolute Return · ·
The investment cycle is decisively ahead of the economic cycle, with many signs of frothy conditions, at a point when consumer price inflation is rising, bonds have entered a durable bear market and the U.S. dollar is vulnerable.
Asset Allocation Strategy – As Good As It Gets – May 7, 2021
· Asset Allocation ·
The aggressive monetary and fiscal support of the past year helped bring forward and fortify the robust rebound in capital markets relative to underlying economic growth conditions.
Policy – U.S. Corporate, Personal And Capital Gains Taxes: It’s The Economy That Matters – May 4, 2021
· Economics & Policy ·
President Biden’s proposed tax hikes, by themselves, are negative for risk assets, but the long-term relationship between income, capital gains and corporate tax rates and economic growth and equity market returns is mixed.
U.S. Equities – Stay Selectively Focused On Value – May 3, 2021
· Equities ·
U.S. first-quarter earnings reports have been overwhelmingly positive.
Weekly Macro Strategy – A Durable Trend, Not A One-Off – April 30, 2021
· Weekly Macro Strategy ·
Led by the U.S., the global economic recovery continues to strengthen on the back of increased vaccinations.
Fixed Income – A G7 Bond Yield Anchor Is Lifting – April 30, 2021
Fixed Income ·
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Equities – A Weaker Dollar Will Eventually Favor Unhedged Non-U.S. Equities – April 30, 2021
Equities ·
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Roundtable – U.S. Economy: From A Crisis To Supercharged Growth – (70min:36sec) – April 29, 2021
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables ·
In this Roundtable, MRB’s U.S. Economy Strategist, Prajakta Bhide, discussed the outlook for the U.S. growth and inflation including the key upside and downside risks, and the likely course of monetary and fiscal policies.
Webcast – Key Portfolio Tilts For Outsized Returns – (8min:45sec) – April 28, 2021
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables ·
In this week’s Webcast, Phillip Colmar outlines four longer-term global investment trends that will be key to generating outsized portfolio returns over the next several years.
Equities – An ISM® Warning Sign For Stocks – April 27, 2021
· Equities ·
While the macro and policy backdrop remains very equity friendly, an inevitable moderation in the ISM manufacturing index in the coming months is likely to temper investor risk appetite.
Foreign Exchange – Is The GBP Rally Over? – April23, 2021
Foreign Exchange ·
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Absolute Return Strategy – Playing Major Global Trends – April 22, 2021
Absolute Return · ·
The global reflation trade has cooled of late, after becoming technically stretched in recent months.
Webcast – U.S. Economy: All Eyes On Inflation – (9min:25sec) – April 21, 2021
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables ·
In this week’s Webcast, Prajakta Bhide discusses the outlook for U.S. inflation and highlights the key price indicators to watch over the coming months.
Economy – U.S. Inflation: Still Early To Spot The Upside, But… – April 20, 2021
· Economics & Policy ·
This report takes a closer look at the recent performance of U.S. inflation indicators.
Weekly Macro Strategy – The Key Is To Stay Open – April16, 2021
· Weekly Macro Strategy ·
The risk of a near-term correction in equities, due to overstretched technical conditions and already elevated earnings expectations, has diminished because the uptrend in Treasury yields has paused.
Fixed Income – Will Low G7 Ex-U.S. Yields Cap U.S. Treasury Yields? – April 16, 2021
Fixed Income ·
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Equities – Euro Area: In Search Of Earnings Power – April 16, 2021
Equities ·
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Webcast – Our Differentiated Views On U.S. Consumer Discretionary And Industrial Stocks – (12min:06sec) – April 14, 2021
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables ·
In this week’s Webcast Salvatore Ruscitti discusses the 6-12 month prospects for the U.S. consumer discretionary and industrial sectors.
U.S. Equities – Industrial Stocks: Will Earnings Deliver? – April 13, 2021
· Equities ·
After lagging in December and January, U.S. industrial stocks have resumed outperforming in recent months.
Equities – Earnings Prospects Favor Further Global Value Outperformance – April 13, 2021
· Equities ·
The rich valuations of growth stocks and the increasingly positive outlook for economic growth have recently helped boost investor interest in value stocks as a potential catch-up play.
Weekly Macro Strategy – Risk Assets Benefit As The Rise In Treasury Yields Pauses – April 9, 2021
· Weekly Macro Strategy ·
Global growth is strengthening and broadening, helping to sustain rising earnings expectations.
MRB TradeBook Update – April 9, 2021
Absolute Return ·
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Equities – Global Equity Sectors: Sector Earnings Shifts Underway – April 9, 2021
Equities ·
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Webcast – A Consolidation Or Correction Phase Is Overdue – (12min:45sec) – April 7, 2021
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables ·
In this week’s webcast, Peter Perkins discusses the outlook for capital markets on a 6-12 month horizon and MRB’s asset allocation recommendations.
Asset Allocation Strategy – Capital Markets Begin Re-Aligning To Fundamentals – April 1, 2021
· Asset Allocation ·
The overbought global S/B ratio signals increasing risk of a near-term correction or consolidation phase, but underlying economic fundamentals remain quite positive.
U.S. Equities – Consumer Discretionary Stocks: Not As Leveraged To Re-Opening As You Might Think – March 31, 2021
· Equities ·
The combination of historically huge fiscal transfers, a high savings rate, and healthy household balance sheets has left the U.S. consumer primed to spend once the economy fully re-opens.