It’s Late, On Many Fronts – November 10, 2025

We examined the long-term equity market outlook in a report last week, and concluded that the secular bull run in U.S. equities that began in 2009 is extended. Many of the powerful tailwinds are now fully discounted, and in some cases cresting/reversing. While a bear market catalyst is still absent, current pricing implies a material deterioration in the risk/reward profile and a challenging decade ahead for equity returns.