Absolute Return Strategy – Selectivity After The Runup – January 12, 2021



Absolute Return Strategy – Selectivity After The Runup – January 12, 2021
Absolute Return · 

This report focuses on positioning around the potential for some near-term turbulence in global equity markets following the recent sharp upleg.


U.S. Sector Strategy – 2021 Outlook: From Rally To Rotation – December 23, 2020
 · Equities · 

The expected widespread rollout of COVID-19 vaccines has boosted the outlook for the global economy.


Webinar – The Great Equity & Currency Rotation – (89min:16sec) – November 18, 2020
Webcasts · 

In this week’s special MRB Webinar, Phillip Colmar and Mehran Nakhjavani address the question of asset rotation and answer questions from clients.


U.S. Equities – Election Post-Mortem: The Implications For U.S. Equity Sectors – November 17, 2020
 · Equities · 

The U.S. election will not be certified by the Electoral College until mid-December, but Joe Biden is almost certain to be the next president.


Weekly Macro Strategy – Moving Another Notch – November 13, 2020
 · Weekly Macro Strategy · 

The pandemic is slowing the rebound in economic activity outside of Asia. However, the 6-12 month outlook has improved because U.S. political uncertainty has diminished and there are higher odds of successful COVID-19 remedies.


Theme – Secular Equity Bull Market: Is There More Upside? – October 21, 2020
Absolute Return ·  · Asset Allocation · Themes · 

Most investment strategy is focused on the cyclical trend in asset prices (i.e. the swings within a single economic or business cycle).


Absolute Return Strategy – The Opportunities Are In The Laggards – September 10, 2020
Absolute Return ·  · 

It has been a bumpy ride for investors over the past week as equities abruptly pulled back from overbought levels, before catching a bid yesterday.


Absolute Return Strategy – Equity Leaders Vs Everything Else – September 3, 2020
Absolute Return ·  · 

Market leaders typically have a material influence on overall equity performance, but it has been dramatic this year.


U.S. Equities – Trump Vs Biden: Who’s Better For U.S. Tech Stocks? – August 31, 2020
 · Equities · 

The occupant of the White House over the next four years will have an influence on the outlook for the tech industry


U.S. Equities – Follow The Profit Cycle – July 23, 2020
 · Equities · 

The uncertainties unleashed by the COVID-19 pandemic pose a significant challenge for investment strategy.


Theme – Mania Profiling (Part VI): What Assets Will Be Next? – May 12, 2020
 · Themes · 

This report concludes our series on profiling asset manias. We began this series in late-2019 by outlining MRB’s framework for asset bubbles and compared the current macro backdrop with factors that have traditionally led to manic episodes.


U.S. Equities – Navigating The Growth Vs Value Style Imbalance – May 7, 2020
 · Equities · 

Growth stocks have continued to exert market leadership this year amid the COVID pandemic.


U.S. Equities – Tech Stocks: An Overdue Reality Check – April 27, 2020
 · Equities · 

U.S. technology stocks have been relatively resilient amid the COVID-19 health crisis and economic shutdown.


U.S. Equities – The Virus Makes The Timeline – March 31, 2020
 · Equities · 

U.S. stock prices have recently bounced from their lows. To a large degree, the performance of the equity market going forward will be a function of sentiment towards the 2021 earnings outlook


U.S. Equities – Will The Equity Market Catch The Flu? – February 12, 2020
 · Equities · 

After an initial modest drawdown, the U.S. equity market has more than recouped all its earlier losses from coronavirus fears.


Absolute Return Strategy – Trading Manias & Crashes – January 29, 2020
Absolute Return ·  · 

Global equities stumbled in the last week after surging over the past year.


Equities – Global Equities: Handicaps For Small-Cap Stocks – January 24, 2020
Equities · 

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U.S. Equities – Tech Stocks: No Room For Disappointment – January 22, 2020
 · Equities · 

U.S. IT stocks have been on a tear in the past year.


U.S. Equities – Looking Back At 2019 and Ahead To 2020 – January 9, 2020
 · Equities · 

The U.S. equity market has started the year on a choppy note, with geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran whipsawing stocks prices in recent days.


Webcast – U.S. Equity Market Outlook: How To Position In 2020 (19min:04sec) – January 3, 2020
Webcasts · 

In this week’s Webcast Salvatore Ruscitti discusses the 2020 outlook for the U.S. equity market and how to position portfolios for the year ahead.


U.S. Sector Strategy – 2020 Outlook: Earnings Growth Will Still Be King – December 18, 2019
 · Equities · 

Today’s report discusses how to position U.S. equity portfolios for the year ahead.


Theme – Mania Profiling (Part I): Framework & Current Cycle – November 20, 2019
 · Themes · 

This MRB Theme Report is the first of a mini-series of reports that update our work on asset manias.


U.S. Equities – Stocks Go All-In On A Trade Deal – November 18, 2019
 · Equities · 

U.S. equity prices have made new highs in the past month, with reduced recession fears and optimism about an easing of U.S./China trade tensions driving the advance


U.S. Equities – Cyclical Vs Defensive Tech: Where We Stand – November 7, 2019
 · Equities · 

In recent months, market participants have rotated into the more cyclical components of the technology sector such as semiconductors and hardware equipment manufacturers from the more defensive software sub-group.


Global Equities – An Old, But Not Fully Mature Earnings Cycle – October 15, 2019
 · Asset Class Reports · Equities · 

The global earnings upcycle is advanced, but should continue in the sluggish growth environment we anticipate in the year ahead.


U.S. Equities – Tech Capex: Up In The Clouds? – September 17, 2019
 · Equities · 

The tech sector has drawn increased scrutiny of late given the poorly performing IPOs of a few unicorn companies, which have exposed the unprofitable business models of these firms.


U.S. Equities – Semiconductor Stocks: Sniffing The Bottom Of The Cycle – July 23, 2019
 · Equities · 

The outlook for U.S. semiconductor and semi-equipment stocks remains a hotly debated topic.


Theme – MRB’s Annual Overview Of Key Investment Themes (Part II) – May 29, 2019
 · Themes · 

This is Part II of a two-part annual update of the big-picture themes that form the foundation for MRB’s longer-term investment strategy.


U.S. Equities – Navigating Trade Uncertainties – May 14, 2019
 · Equities · 

Equities have been jolted in the past week after an abrupt escalation in trade tensions between the U.S. and China.


Asset Allocation Strategy – Tentative Economic Green Shoots – April 5, 2019
 · Asset Allocation · 

There are tentative economic green shoots starting to emerge which should lend further support to risk assets.