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MRB TradeBook – Three New Positions And Tightening Some Stops – August 2, 2024
Absolute Return · ·
Add to Favorite ReportsThere are several changes to positioning in the MRB TradeBook this week: New Positions… Continue
Regional Equities – Goldilocks “Light” Spurs A Broadening In Equity Leadership – June 25, 2024
· Equities ·
The investment backdrop remains broadly supportive for global equities, but performance will likely be choppy in the near term given some signs of slowing growth in the U.S. economy…
U.S. Equities – Health Care Stocks: Down, But Not Out – June 12, 2024
· Equities ·
U.S. health care stocks have been through a rocky period in the past year…
U.S. Equities – Health Care: The Case For Favoring Medical Devices Over Managed Care Solidifies – February 8, 2024
· Equities ·
The shares of U.S. managed care companies have been under pressure since industry bellwethers…
MRB TradeBook – Adding Some New Positions – January 5, 2024
Absolute Return · ·
Add to Favorite ReportsFinancial markets have started the year with a continued shift favoring laggard assets, which… Continue
2024 U.S. Sector Outlook – Laggards Will Get The Limelight – December 19, 2023
· Equities ·
U.S. stocks are exiting 2023 riding a wave of optimism, punctuating a year of strong performance for the popular benchmarks.
U.S. Equities – Still Premature To Increase Defensive Positioning Beyond Health Care – October 24, 2023
· Equities ·
Defensive sectors such as utilities, consumer staples, and health care have all lagged the broad U.S. equity market year-to-date.
Regional Equities – Options For De-Risking From The Heavyweight U.S. – September 28, 2023
· Equities ·
Regional equity positioning is complicated by the outsized weight of the U.S. in the global equity benchmark…
U.S. Equities – It Gets Tougher From Here – May 16, 2023
· Equities ·
The 6-12 month outlook for the U.S. equity market remains uninspiring.
MRB TradeBook – Two New Equity Positions And One Closed Pair Trade – April 6, 2023
Absolute Return ·
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MRB TradeBook – Taking Profits – March 10, 2023
Absolute Return ·
Add to Favorite ReportsMarket volatility has caused us to take profits on three positions this week, these… Continue
Webinar – Investing In A Drawn-Out Late-Cycle Environment – (71min:13sec) – March 1, 2023
Webcasts & Webinars ·
Today’s MRB Webinar featured Salvatore Ruscitti discussing the outlook for the U.S. equity market and the implications of the late-cycle macro environment for portfolio positioning.
MRB TradeBook Update – Tactically Adding More Beta – October 28, 2022
Absolute Return ·
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Last Friday, the U.S. House of Representatives passed the Inflation Reduction Act.
Webcast – How Much Help Will Economic Stabilizers Provide? – (11min:53sec) – August 9, 2022
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s Webcast, global strategist Peter Perkins discusses the key drives of the capital market outlook for the next 6-12 months and MRB’s recommended asset allocation.
MRB TradeBook Update – Adding Beta & Tightening Stops – July 8, 2022
Absolute Return ·
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U.S. Equities – Health Care Stocks Remain A Core Defensive Holding – June 23, 2022
· Equities ·
U.S. health care stocks have outperformed the broad equity market year-to-date, led by the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology sub-groups
Regional Equities – Regional & Sectoral Balance For Turbulent Times – June 23, 2022
· Equities ·
The macro backdrop will remain challenging in the near term as investors assess the trade-off between elevated inflation and economic growth risks
MRB TradeBook Update – Elevated Volatility – June 17, 2022
Absolute Return ·
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U.S. Equities – Waiting For The Inflation Fever To Break – May 11, 2022
· Equities ·
U.S. stocks have corrected sharply year-to-date, with the rise in corporate earnings more than offset by a sharp multiple compression as bond yields have surged.
U.S. Equities – Continue To Favor U.S. Health Care Stocks Over Other Defensive Sectors – February 17, 2022
· Equities ·
The shift of monetary policy from ultra-accommodative towards normalization is ushering in a regime of greater volatility in the equity and bond markets
U.S. Equities – Taking Advantage Of Market Volatility – January 27, 2022
· Equities ·
U.S. equities have started the year on a turbulent note.
Webcast – Navigating The COVID-19 Roller Coaster – (9min:19sec) – December 1, 2021
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s Webcast, Salvatore Ruscitti discusses how the emergence of the Omicron variant impacts U.S. investment strategy
U.S. Equities – Setting The Tone For 2022 – November 24, 2021
· Equities ·
The overall macro backdrop will become less favorable for the equity market in the year ahead.
MRB TradeBook Update – August 13, 2021
Absolute Return ·
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The spreading COVID-19 Delta variant, looming Fed bond tapering, and headline risks associated with corporate tax increases are potential sources of equity market volatility in the coming weeks and months.
U.S. Equities – What The Bond Market Rout Means For U.S. Equities – March 2, 2021
· Equities ·
U.S. equity prices have been volatile of late due to a rapid rise in bond yields as government fixed-income markets have begun to discount stronger-than-expected economic growth and higher inflation.
Roundtable – U.S. Equity Sectors With Salvatore Ruscitti – January 28, 2021
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this Roundtable, MRB’s U.S. Equity Strategist, Salvatore Ruscitti, discusses the outlook for the U.S. equity market and highlights our recommended sector positioning.
Absolute Return Strategy – Selectivity After The Runup – January 12, 2021
Absolute Return · ·
This report focuses on positioning around the potential for some near-term turbulence in global equity markets following the recent sharp upleg.
U.S. Sector Strategy – 2021 Outlook: From Rally To Rotation – December 23, 2020
· Equities ·
The expected widespread rollout of COVID-19 vaccines has boosted the outlook for the global economy.
U.S. Equities – Election Post-Mortem: The Implications For U.S. Equity Sectors – November 17, 2020
· Equities ·
The U.S. election will not be certified by the Electoral College until mid-December, but Joe Biden is almost certain to be the next president.
Absolute Return Strategy – The Ebb And Flow Of Uncertainty – November 12, 2020
Absolute Return · ·
There has been a clash all year between the countervailing forces of the sudden-stop recession and unprecedented policy reflation.
Absolute Return Strategy – The Opportunities Are In The Laggards – September 10, 2020
Absolute Return · ·
It has been a bumpy ride for investors over the past week as equities abruptly pulled back from overbought levels, before catching a bid yesterday.
U.S. Equities – Health Care Stocks: What’s At Stake In The Election? – August 13, 2020
· Equities ·
Health care is one of the most exposed sectors to the outcome of the November presidential election.
U.S. Equities – Follow The Profit Cycle – July 23, 2020
· Equities ·
The uncertainties unleashed by the COVID-19 pandemic pose a significant challenge for investment strategy.
U.S. Equities – Navigating The Growth Vs Value Style Imbalance – May 7, 2020
· Equities ·
Growth stocks have continued to exert market leadership this year amid the COVID pandemic.
U.S. Equities – The Virus Makes The Timeline – March 31, 2020
· Equities ·
U.S. stock prices have recently bounced from their lows. To a large degree, the performance of the equity market going forward will be a function of sentiment towards the 2021 earnings outlook
Theme – Lessons From Previous Equity Bear Markets – March 19, 2020
Absolute Return · · Asset Allocation · Themes ·
The speed of the current selloff in equities, credit and oil has been remarkable, with a massive wave of selling pressure as investors rushed for the exits or to buy portfolio insurance.
U.S. Equities – Looking Back At 2019 and Ahead To 2020 – January 9, 2020
· Equities ·
The U.S. equity market has started the year on a choppy note, with geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran whipsawing stocks prices in recent days.
Webcast – U.S. Equity Market Outlook: How To Position In 2020 (19min:04sec) – January 3, 2020
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s Webcast Salvatore Ruscitti discusses the 2020 outlook for the U.S. equity market and how to position portfolios for the year ahead.
U.S. Sector Strategy – 2020 Outlook: Earnings Growth Will Still Be King – December 18, 2019
· Equities ·
Today’s report discusses how to position U.S. equity portfolios for the year ahead.
U.S. Equities – Stocks Go All-In On A Trade Deal – November 18, 2019
· Equities ·
U.S. equity prices have made new highs in the past month, with reduced recession fears and optimism about an easing of U.S./China trade tensions driving the advance
Webcast – Still Scope For Another Upturn In The Global Earnings Cycle (11min:28sec) – October 23, 2019
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s Webcast, Peter Perkins assesses the earnings cycle across major markets, its key drivers, and the implications for equity prices.
U.S. Equities – A Reality Check For 2020 U.S. Earnings – October 16, 2019
· Equities ·
Third-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest this week. Our report offers a preview of what to expect and what trends to watch.
Global Equities – An Old, But Not Fully Mature Earnings Cycle – October 15, 2019
· Asset Class Reports · Equities ·
The global earnings upcycle is advanced, but should continue in the sluggish growth environment we anticipate in the year ahead.
Equity Sectors – U.S. Health Care Stocks: Un-Warren-ted Panic – October 11, 2019
Equities ·
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U.S. Sector Strategy – Stuck In “No Man’s Land” – August 29, 2019
· Equities ·
The seesawing in trade tensions between the U.S. and China has kept equities on a rollercoaster ride in recent months.
U.S. Equities – What Health Care Stocks Have That Other Defensive Sectors Lack – August 20, 2019
· Equities ·
Concerns about disruptive policy changes and headline risk in the lead-up to the 2020 presidential election have pressured the relative performance of the health care sector this year
Webcast – August Storms (9min:14sec) – August 14, 2019
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s webcast Salvatore Ruscitti discusses recent trade and geopolitical events and their implications for the U.S. equity market outlook and portfolio strategy.
U.S. Equities – At The Edge Of A Cliff? – August 8, 2019
· Equities ·
Equities have sold off sharply in the past week as the U.S. and China have ratcheted up pressure on each other in their deepening trade dispute.
Theme – MRB’s Annual Overview Of Key Investment Themes (Part II) – May 29, 2019
· Themes ·
This is Part II of a two-part annual update of the big-picture themes that form the foundation for MRB’s longer-term investment strategy.
U.S. Equities – Navigating Trade Uncertainties – May 14, 2019
· Equities ·
Equities have been jolted in the past week after an abrupt escalation in trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
U.S. Equities – Health Care Stocks: Putting Policy Risks Into Context – May 2, 2019
· Equities ·
Health care stocks have been battered in recent months due to concerns about increased government intervention in the sector.
U.S. Sector Strategy – Signs Of Stability, But Too Early To Rotate Out Of Quality And Growth – April 4, 2019
· Equities ·
The first quarter saw cyclical stocks rebound from deeply oversold levels relative to their defensives counterparts.
Webcast – An Update On The U.S. Market Outlook And Sector Positioning (7min:45sec) – February 13, 2019
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s webcast, Salvatore Ruscitti discusses the outlook for U.S. equities and MRB’s recommended positioning.
Webcast – Perspectives From MRB Strategists (22min:43sec) – January 3, 2019
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s Webcast, Warren C. Smith chats with various MRB strategists in our three offices, and examines the key investment issues that we expect will dominate the landscape in 2019.
U.S. Sector Strategy – 2019 Outlook: Staying Balanced And Diversified – December 21, 2018
· Equities ·
Equity markets are ending the year on a downbeat note, with end-of-cycle fears and political uncertainties continuing to weigh heavily on investor sentiment.
U.S. Equities – Trade Whipsaw – December 10, 2018
· Equities ·
Markets have been whipsawed over the past week amid confusion over the substance of a U.S./China trade cease-fire and fears that the recently agreed to truce will prove fragile
U.S. Equities – Peak Earnings Growth, Not Peak Earnings – November 1, 2018
· Equities ·
Last month’s correction has pushed valuations for the U.S. equity benchmark to levels where they discount an overly bearish outcome for earnings.
U.S. Equity Sectors – Don’t Chase Mini Rotations – October 4, 2018
· Equities ·
The crosscurrents of strong corporate earnings and global trade/non-U.S. growth uncertainties warrant maintaining only a modestly pro-growth sector positioning stance.
Webcast – Staying Diversified, But With A Pro-Growth Bias (11min:07sec) – September 19, 2018
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s webcast, Salvatore Ruscitti provides a quick update on our U.S. sector positioning views and discusses the outlook for multiline retailing stocks, as well as risks and opportunities within the health care sector.
U.S. Equities – Staying Diversified, But With A Pro-Growth Bias – September 14, 2018
· Equities ·
Rising earnings are continuing to provide support to the U.S. equity market. However, a further significant advance in equity prices is dependent on the U.S. protectionist threat receding and non-U.S. economic growth momentum showing definitive signs of firming.
Webcast – GICS Reclassification And Its Implications (10min:07sec) – August 1 2018
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s webcast, Salvatore Ruscitti looks at the upcoming changes to the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS), and discusses their potential impact on sector behavior and the implications for investment strategy.
U.S. Equities – The Upcoming Reshuffling Of Sectors: What Are The Implications For Investors? – July 31, 2018
· Equities ·
Major revisions to the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) structure are scheduled to go into effect on September 28, 2018.
U.S. Equities – Fundamentals Still Favor A Moderately Pro-Cyclical Positioning Stance – July 10, 2018
· Equities ·
The equity market has been resilient of late despite escalating trade tensions.
Asia Ex-Japan Report – China’s Bear: Hunt Or Run? – July 10, 2018
· Emerging Markets · Equities ·
Despite large differences in sector composition, valuations, and international trade exposure, correlations between China’s CSI-300 index, the MSCI China and MSCI Hong Kong indexes have risen to the highest levels in more than a decade.
U.S. Equities – A Valuation Deep Dive Across Sectors – June 18, 2018
· Equities ·
Valuations for the broad U.S. equity market have re-set lower since late-January.
U.S. Equities – Banks And Semis: Are The Bearish Narratives Justified? – April 23, 2018
· Equities ·
The upward bias in inflation expectations and bond yields implies that the digestion phase for the U.S. equity market will persist in the near run.
U.S. Equities – A Negative News Cycle For Stocks – March 26, 2018
· Asset Class Reports · Equities ·
U.S. equity markets were roiled last week as investors worried about several issues including the prospects of a trade war, the fallout from the data harvesting scandal at Facebook, and anxiety over Fed rate hikes.
Webcast – Volatility Redux: Assessing U.S. Portfolio Positioning (10min:31sec) – February 21, 2018
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s Webcast,Salvatore Ruscitti provides an update on our U.S. equity sector views given the shifting macro landscape
U.S. Equity Sectors – Positioning In A Higher Volatility World – February 20, 2018
· Equities ·
After a long absence, volatility returned to the equity market earlier this month, triggered by a breakout in Treasury yields.
Webcast – 2018 U.S. Sector Outlook (14min:41sec) – January 3, 2018
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s webcast, equity sectors strategist Salvatore Ruscitti, assesses the macro outlook for 2018 and the implications for U.S. equity sector positioning.
U.S. Equity Sectors Report – 2018 U.S. Sector Outlook: Remain Diversified – December 19, 2017
· Equities ·
The U.S. equity market has enjoyed a banner year, with gains being fueled by a favorable macro backdrop.
Webcast – What Is The MRB Stylized Investment Cycle Telling Us? (10min:55sec) – November 15, 2017
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s Webcast, Phillip Colmar and Santiago Espinosa provide MRB’s key takeaways from our four-part theme report on the MRB Stylized Investment Cycle.
Charts – Equity Sectors: Our Favorite Charts – November 2, 2017
· Equities ·
Today’s report provides our 12 favorite U.S. sector/industry sub-group charts. We also discuss their implications.
Theme – Stylized Investment Cycle (Part II): Asset Class Positioning – October 25, 2017
Absolute Return · · Asset Allocation · Economics & Policy · Equities · Fixed Income · Themes ·
This is the second MRB Theme Report in a multi-part series updating the MRB Stylized Investment Cycle, which is one of our most popular thematic frameworks. Part I outlined our framework and where financial markets currently are within the investment cycle.
Equities – Trump’s Executive Order On Health Care: Should Investors Worry? – October 19, 2017
· Economics & Policy · Equities ·
Last week, President Trump decided to halt cost-sharing subsidies to health insurers on top of signing an executive order…