2023 Asset Allocation Outlook: Better Valuations, But Another Tough Year – December 2, 2022


equity-sectors

 

2023 Asset Allocation Outlook: Better Valuations, But Another Tough Year – December 2, 2022
 · Asset Allocation · 

The key drivers of global capital markets in the first-half of the year ahead will be slow/slowing economic growth…



 

U.S. Equities – The Implications Of A Desynchronized U.S. Profit Cycle – November 23, 2022
 · Equities · 

The U.S. profit cycle has decelerated sharply this year after a period of extraordinary growth following the re-opening of the economy in 2021.



 

Weekly Macro Strategy – A Soggy U.S. Dollar Helps – November 18, 2022
 · Weekly Macro Strategy · 

The risk-on phase should persist in the near run, with the caveat being that government bond markets stay calm;



 

Long-Term Returns – Setting Realistic Expectations – November 17, 2022
 · Asset Allocation · Equities · 

The long-term outlook for a balanced portfolio has improved following this year’s price declines…



 

Absolute Return Strategy – Playing The Interest Rate Dominoes – November 10, 2022
Absolute Return ·  · 

Today’s MRB Absolute Return Strategy revisits our theme of toppling dominoes in response to interest rate normalization and provides a series of investment strategy recommendations.



 

Webcast – Possible Year-End Rally, But No Turn In The Investment Cycle – (11min:31sec) – November 9, 2022
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

In this week’s Webcast, global strategist Peter Perkins discusses the outlook for capital markets over the next 6-12 months and MRB’s recommended asset allocation.



 

U.S. Equities – Semiconductor Stocks: Is All The Bad News Discounted? – November 8, 2022
 · Equities · 

U.S. semiconductor stocks have posted big losses in 2022, with the semiconductor & semi-equipment index falling nearly 40% year-to-date on growing fears of a recession.



 

Asset Allocation Strategy – Late Cycle Dynamics – November 4, 2022
 · Asset Allocation · 

The Fed wrong-footed investors this week, with Chair Powell’s hawkish press conference comments overwhelming the more moderate policy statement.



 

China – No Imminent Reprieve – November 3, 2022
 · Emerging Markets · 

Betting on an imminent relaxation of the COVID-zero policy may seem rational, given the latter’s economic costs and dubious public health benefit.



 

Webcast – U.S. Consumer Discretionary Stocks Will Remain Challenged – (11min:11sec) – November 2, 2022
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

In this week’s Webcast, Salvatore Ruscitti examines the outlook for U.S. consumer discretionary stocks.



 

U.S. Equities – Consumer Discretionary Stocks: Too Early To Get More Constructive – October 27, 2022
 · Equities · 

We entered 2022 with an underweight recommendation on the U.S. consumer discretionary sector.



 

Weekly Macro Strategy – More Of The Same – October 14, 2022
 · Weekly Macro Strategy · 

The global economic outlook is deteriorating, watch out for various “weak links”.



 

U.S. Equities – Road & Rail Stocks: Why Relative Performance Is At Risk Of Getting Derailed – October 13, 2022
 · Equities · 

The U.S. Class 1 railroads are great businesses. That said, these companies are not impervious to an economic slowdown/downturn, nor are they immune to operational challenges.



 

Webcast – Markets On Edge – (10min:10sec) – October 12, 2022
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

In this week’s Webcast, global strategist Peter Perkins discusses the outlook for capital markets over the next 6-12 months and MRB’s recommended asset allocation positioning.



 

Asset Allocation Strategy – Temporary Reprieve – October 7, 2022
 · Asset Allocation · 

Capital markets are in payback mode after the huge prices gains in 2020-2021 as the earlier liquidity boom unwinds.



 

China – Baby Steps To Evolving COVID-Zero – October 6, 2022
 · Emerging Markets · 

It may still only be a baby step, and by global standards it is a barely perceptible one.



 

U.S. Equities – Patience Is Prudence – October 5, 2022
 · Equities · 

Equities have started the fourth quarter on a more upbeat note after one of the worst Septembers on record.



 

Regional Equities – Bond Risks And Regional Positioning – September 29, 2022
 · Equities · 

Equities will continue to face headwinds in the near term, with economic growth slowing even as central banks are determined to push interest rates into restrictive territory.



 

Absolute Return Strategy – Higher Interest Rates Curb Risk Taking – September 23, 2022
Absolute Return · 

 Add to Favorite Reports Risk assets are facing renewed selling pressure and will continue to do so… Continue



 

Roundtable – Positioning In A World Of Higher-For-Longer Interest Rates – (79min:22sec) – September 21, 2022
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

Today’s MRB Roundtable featured Salvatore Ruscitti discussing the outlook for the U.S. equity market and the implications of higher-for-longer interest rates on portfolio positioning.



 

Asset Allocation Strategy – Lots Of Risks, Limited Rewards – September 9, 2022
 · Asset Allocation · 

The investment climate is likely to remain highly challenging over the balance of this year.



 

China – Pragmatic Policy In Hibernation – September 8, 2022
 · Emerging Markets · 

Deng Xiaoping, China’s paramount leader from 1978 until 1992, famously said “no matter if it is a white cat or a black cat, so long as it can catch mice, it is a good cat”



 

U.S. Equities – Our Favorite Charts – August 26, 2022
 · Equities · 

Today’s report presents some of our recent “favorite” charts.



 

U.S. Equities – Does The Inflation Reduction Act Warrant A More Cautious Stance On U.S. Health Care Stocks? – August 15, 2022
 · Equities · 

Last Friday, the U.S. House of Representatives passed the Inflation Reduction Act.



 

Webcast – Why The Consensus Is Repeatedly Wrongfooted – (13min:54sec) – August 10, 2022
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

In this week’s Webcast Phillip Colmar addresses a core difference in what is a fundamental building block between MRB’s view and the consensus.



 

Webcast – How Much Help Will Economic Stabilizers Provide? – (11min:53sec) – August 9, 2022
Webcasts, Webinars & Roundtables · 

In this week’s Webcast, global strategist Peter Perkins discusses the key drives of the capital market outlook for the next 6-12 months and MRB’s recommended asset allocation.



 

Asset Allocation Strategy – Self-Correcting Supports Kicking In – August 5, 2022
 · Asset Allocation · 

The global economy faces several challenges, but we reiterate that an economic recession is neither imminent nor inevitable, although growth will likely slow further in the near term.



 

China – COVID-Zero Implies Continuing Economic Pain – August 4, 2022
 · Emerging Markets · 

Prospects for a strong reopening recovery in China are evaporating in the face of the authorities’ obstinate attachment to a COVID-zero policy



 

U.S. Equities – Chemical Stocks: Trouble Brewing – August 3, 2022
 · Equities · 

Year-to-date, U.S. chemical stocks have performed broadly in line with the overall equity market, albeit with considerable volatility.



 

Weekly Macro Strategy – Mixed Messages – July 29, 2022
 · Weekly Macro Strategy · 

“Pause #2” in the cyclical bond yield uptrend is well advanced, and further downside in yields from current levels should be limited.