MacroResearchBoard
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Weekly Macro Strategy – Back To Pre-SVB Levels? – March 31, 2023
equities
Weekly Macro Strategy – Back To Pre-SVB Levels? – March 31, 2023
· Weekly Macro Strategy ·
We remain constructive on global economic prospects for the next 6-12 months, and do not expect much fallout from this month’s banking problems.
Regional Equities – Late-Cycle Positioning – March 30, 2023
· Equities ·
Equity prices have been under pressure in recent weeks, but we expect the banking sector stresses to soon die down and for the global economic expansion to continue at a moderate pace.
Weekly Macro Strategy – More Bumps On The Road To The Finish Line – March 24, 2023
· Weekly Macro Strategy ·
Fragile sentiment relating to banks may linger for a while longer, but DM regulators will ultimately do whatever it takes to restore confidence in their banking systems…
U.S. Equities – Changes To The GICS® Structure: What Investors Need To Know – March 22, 2023
· Equities ·
Changes to the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®) will be made in the coming months.
Theme – Making Money During China’s Demographic Decline – March 21, 2023
· Emerging Markets · Themes ·
China’s official population count for 2022 was published in January and showed 9.6m births, outweighed by 10.4m deaths.
Webcast – U.S. Bank Stocks: Idiosyncratic Rather Than Systemic Risks – (9min:29sec) – March 14, 2023
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s Webcast, Salvatore Ruscitti discusses the implications of recent developments in the banking industry and their impact on U.S. bank stocks.
Weekly Macro Strategy – A Widening Gap: Deleveraged Versus Weak Link Economies – March 10, 2023
· Weekly Macro Strategy ·
The risk-on phase seems likely to persist for as long as DM long-term bond markets are relatively calm, because recently only the short-end of the curve has reacted to rising policy rate expectations.
MRB TradeBook – Taking Profits – March 10, 2023
Absolute Return ·
Add to Favorite ReportsMarket volatility has caused us to take profits on three positions this week, these… Continue
U.S. Equities – Bank Stocks: Addressing Three Popular Questions – March 9, 2023
· Equities ·
Rising interest rates bring both opportunities and risks for the banking industry.
China – Surveys Show Recovery, Hard Data Will Follow – March 9, 2023
· Emerging Markets ·
“Soft” data from surveys are showing China’s robust recovery is underway, but the usual seasonal distortions in hard data make it difficult to calibrate the implications for overall economic momentum for the time being.
Webcast – Fed Whipsaw – (11min:07sec) – March 8, 2023
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s Webcast, global strategist Peter Perkins discusses the outlook for capital markets over the next 6-12 months and MRB’s recommended asset allocation.
Asset Allocation Strategy – Bonds Hold The Whip Hand – March 3, 2023
· Asset Allocation ·
The global economy may be firming, but good economic news is now bad news for bonds, and in turn, risk assets.
MRB TradeBook – New Equity Pair Trade – March 3, 2023
Absolute Return ·
Add to Favorite ReportsLong U.S. Industrials Vs Consumer Discretionary Stocks: U.S. industrials have started to outperform their… Continue
Webinar – Investing In A Drawn-Out Late-Cycle Environment – (71min:13sec) – March 1, 2023
Webcasts & Webinars ·
Today’s MRB Webinar featured Salvatore Ruscitti discussing the outlook for the U.S. equity market and the implications of the late-cycle macro environment for portfolio positioning.
Emerging Market Equities – More Than Just A China Bounce? – February 28, 2023
· Emerging Markets · Equities ·
With China’s earnings momentum already improving and a material economic rebound under way this year, Chinese stocks are well set to outperform their EM and DM peers.
Weekly Macro Strategy – Service Sectors Gain Momentum, Bond Yields Are Next – February 24, 2023
· Weekly Macro Strategy ·
The global economic outlook has brightened: service sector activity is strengthening, especially in the euro area and Asia.
Global Equities – Elevated Cyclically-Adjusted Valuations Underscore Risk – February 23, 2023
· Equities ·
Equity valuations are often elevated toward the end of economic expansions when investor sentiment is optimistic, and earnings are high, which is the case today.
Webcast – Equity Dilemma: Stronger Economy Vs Higher Bond Yields – (10min:05sec) – February 22, 2023
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this Webcast Phillip Colmar focuses on the major macro forces driving equities and bonds and narrows in on the current outlook for investment strategy.
Weekly Macro Strategy – Markets Are Still Betting On 2% Inflation – February 17, 2023
· Weekly Macro Strategy ·
The tactical risk-on phase should persist until DM government bond yields break out on the upside.
Add to Favorite Reports
Equities – Global Trade Is Key To The Earnings Outlook – February 16, 2023
· Equities ·
There remains considerable uncertainty about the economic outlook, but we have been and remain more constructive than the consensus…
Webcast – Profiting From Understanding The Cycle – (7min:42sec) – February 14, 2023
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this Webcast Phillip Colmar focuses on the economic and investment cycles.
Weekly Macro Strategy – Does The Fed Really, Really Mean It? – February 10, 2023
· Weekly Macro Strategy ·
Global growth will improve, particularly in the euro area and Asia.
Absolute Return Strategy – Investors Misinterpret The Cycle Yet Again – February 10, 2023
Absolute Return · ·
Investors are now progressively capitulating to our more upbeat macro view, which has provided a boost for risk assets.
Theme – Investors Misinterpret The Cycle Yet Again – February 10, 2023
Absolute Return · · Themes ·
Add to Favorite Reports Investors are now progressively capitulating to our more upbeat macro view, which has… Continue
China – Services Rebound, Broader Consumption Should Follow – February 9, 2023
· Emerging Markets ·
The traditional travel boom during the Lunar New Year holiday period took place in January…
Webcast – Heed Cyclical Realities – (11min:53sec) – February 7, 2023
Webcasts & Webinars ·
In this week’s Webcast, global strategist Peter Perkins discusses the investment outlook and MRB’s asset allocation recommendations for the next 6-12 months.
Asset Allocation Strategy – Risk-On, But It’s Late, Not Early Cycle – February 3, 2023
· Asset Allocation ·
From 30,000 feet the investment landscape appears appealing.
MRB TradeBook – Temporarily Step Aside From Shorting Growth Stocks – February 3, 2023
Absolute Return ·
Add to Favorite Reports The slowing of monetary tightening by the Fed has provided a near-term boost… Continue
U.S. Equities – Small-Cap Stocks: Bullish Bets Are Not Yet Warranted – February 1, 2023
· Equities ·
U.S. small-cap stocks have outperformed their large-cap counterparts over the past year.